If performance in the final month matches recent trends, exports could approach USD 70 billion, well above the USD 65 billion target set for the year. The result would mark a new record, with several product groups posting all-time highs simultaneously.
In 2025, strong growth was recorded across key commodities including coffee, pepper, seafood, fruits and vegetables, and forestry products. Coffee stood out, with export value surpassing USD 8 billion for the first time, despite output of only about 1.5 million tonnes.
The average export price of coffee in 2025 rose by about 40 per cent compared with 2024, reflecting a clear shift from volume-driven growth to quality- and value-based expansion, while reinforcing Vietnam’s role as a major global coffee supplier, Tien said.
The export structure has also shifted towards higher value-added coffee products, laying a more stable foundation for the industry and supporting a strategy to move deeper into the value chain and enhance international competitiveness.
In major producing regions such as Dak Lak, Gia Lai, Lam Dong and Quang Ngai, smart coffee farming models are being rolled out to improve productivity, quality and climate resilience. Farmers are moving from experience-based practices to science-driven processes, combined with digital technologies for monitoring and origin traceability, in response to stricter market requirements.
In the seafood sector, exporters took advantage of opportunities to accelerate shipments ahead of new US import regulations and before final rulings on anti-dumping cases involving shrimp. In November 2025 alone, aquatic product exports reached nearly USD 990 million, up 6.6 per cent year on year.
The Vietnam Association of Seafood Exporters and Producers forecasts seafood exports of around USD 11.2-11.3 billion in 2025, a record high.
Shrimp exports are expected to exceed USD 4.6 billion, setting a new record, while tra fish exports are projected to top USD 2.1 billion on recovering Asian demand. Tuna exports are predicted to surpass USD 900 million, nearing the USD 1 billion mark.
Le Hang, deputy general secretary of the association, said the strong results in 2025 have further strengthened the sector’s position in major markets.
Fruit and vegetable exports are also set to hit a record, projected at about USD 8.5 billion in 2025, far above the USD 5 billion target. Durian remains the industry’s standout product, with strong growth since official exports to China began, generating substantial income for farmers and businesses.
Dang Phuc Nguyen, general secretary of the Vietnam Fruit and Vegetable Association, said exports faced early challenges in 2025 due to China’s technical barriers on durian and the impact of US tariff policies. However, flexible government measures and adaptive efforts by businesses and farmers are expected to lift exports beyond USD 8.5 billion for the first time. He forecasts exports of USD 10 billion in 2026.
The gains reflect progress in market opening and trade integration. In 2025, Vietnam and China signed five protocols covering fruit exports. Huynh Tan Dat, director of the department of crop production and plant protection, said official export channels encourage better compliance with quarantine, food safety and traceability standards.
Vietnam’s forestry sector aims to earn USD 25 billion in exports by 2030 by boosting competitiveness, building a national wood brand and diversifying markets, products and distribution channels.
Nguyen Quoc Khanh, chairman of the Vietnam Timber and Forest Product Association, stressed the need for a self-reliant supply chain, investment in green production and workforce training, with the wood brand built on four pillars: sustainability, quality, flexibility and competitiveness, supported by transparent and standardised data systems.
The ministry said the sector will continue to promote domestic and export markets, proactively adapt to new tariff policies, and support businesses in market access, trade promotion and export growth.