This year presents a critical opportunity for countries to accelerate their efforts to combat the climate crisis by submitting ambitious national climate commitments (NDCs) under the Paris Agreement. The initial date for countries to submit their plans was earlier this month. However, so far, only 16 countries—representing about 20 percent of global emissions—have done so.
While this may seem disappointing, WRI’s David Waskow argues in a Financial Times opinion piece that “it’s far better to see strong, well-crafted commitments later this year than rushed, weak ones now.” Simon Stiell, the executive director of UN Climate Change, says that countries should aim to submit their NDCs before the UN General Assembly in September, which will allow time for international scrutiny and in-depth analysis before the COP30 talks in November. On a positive note, over 170 countries have expressed intent to submit new climate plans this year. As David Waskow puts it, “the real question isn’t whether commitments will take shape, but whether they will meet the mark.”
So far, most nations are stepping up their commitments, but the rigor of their plans varies: the UK is targeting an ambitious 81% emissions reduction by 2035, Brazil has proposed a 59-67% reduction range by 2035, while New Zealand only marginally increased its target from 50% to 51-55% by 2035.
Watch WRI’s recent webinar to get a temperature check on NDCs that have already been submitted and what to expect from major emitters like China and the European Union.